Post by Steve Gardner on Dec 28, 2007 13:30:26 GMT
Source: BBC
The outlook for the UK job market is at its worst for a decade, according to a report from an employment organisation.
The Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development forecasts a net rise in employment of 75,000 in 2008, a third of the rise forecast in 2006 and 2007.
The institute estimates unemployment will rise by around 150,000 to 1.8 million, or 5.8% of the workforce.
Next year would be "easily the worst since the Labour Government came to power in 1997", the institute said.
John Philpott, chief economist at the CIPD, said that in the previous two years a downward trend in public sector employment "has in turn been more than offset by rising numbers of private sector jobs".
"But 2008 will be the first year for a decade that the engine of job creation will be spluttering right across the economy," he forecast.
Slowdown
Mr Philpott warned that the slowdown in the job market could prompt "bigger cuts in interest rates than currently anticipated" and prolong the effects of the economic downturn into 2009.
In the private sector, the institute said job losses will be felt most in financial services, which in recent years has "been a substantial driver of employment growth" but is now "facing a direct hit from the credit crunch".
Many financial firms and banks have been hit by problems in the US housing market, which have made them reluctant to lend to consumers and each other, creating conditions known as a credit crunch.
In October, the Centre for Economics and Business Research said that it expected 6,500 jobs to be lost in the City of London financial district during 2008, with cutbacks most pronounced in investment banking.
The CIPD said that jobs were also likely to be lost in the public sector as the government attempts to improve public service efficiency.
A survey earlier this month by recruitment firm Manpower found that UK employers are set to take on new workers at their slowest rate in six years in the wake of the credit crisis.
Limited options
Many analysts are warning that consumers may rein in spending when faced with deteriorating economic and job conditions.
"Any excessive spending over Christmas and at the New Year sales, especially where goods are paid for on credit, risks tipping even more consumers over the edge," said Mark Sands, director of insolvency at KPMG.
"The credit crunch is resulting in increased rejections of credit card applications and a reduction in the availability of loans secured by a second charge on the family home.
"Those in difficulty will find that their options are becoming limited."
The outlook for the UK job market is at its worst for a decade, according to a report from an employment organisation.
The Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development forecasts a net rise in employment of 75,000 in 2008, a third of the rise forecast in 2006 and 2007.
The institute estimates unemployment will rise by around 150,000 to 1.8 million, or 5.8% of the workforce.
Next year would be "easily the worst since the Labour Government came to power in 1997", the institute said.
John Philpott, chief economist at the CIPD, said that in the previous two years a downward trend in public sector employment "has in turn been more than offset by rising numbers of private sector jobs".
"But 2008 will be the first year for a decade that the engine of job creation will be spluttering right across the economy," he forecast.
Slowdown
Mr Philpott warned that the slowdown in the job market could prompt "bigger cuts in interest rates than currently anticipated" and prolong the effects of the economic downturn into 2009.
In the private sector, the institute said job losses will be felt most in financial services, which in recent years has "been a substantial driver of employment growth" but is now "facing a direct hit from the credit crunch".
Many financial firms and banks have been hit by problems in the US housing market, which have made them reluctant to lend to consumers and each other, creating conditions known as a credit crunch.
In October, the Centre for Economics and Business Research said that it expected 6,500 jobs to be lost in the City of London financial district during 2008, with cutbacks most pronounced in investment banking.
The CIPD said that jobs were also likely to be lost in the public sector as the government attempts to improve public service efficiency.
A survey earlier this month by recruitment firm Manpower found that UK employers are set to take on new workers at their slowest rate in six years in the wake of the credit crisis.
Limited options
Many analysts are warning that consumers may rein in spending when faced with deteriorating economic and job conditions.
"Any excessive spending over Christmas and at the New Year sales, especially where goods are paid for on credit, risks tipping even more consumers over the edge," said Mark Sands, director of insolvency at KPMG.
"The credit crunch is resulting in increased rejections of credit card applications and a reduction in the availability of loans secured by a second charge on the family home.
"Those in difficulty will find that their options are becoming limited."
